Serie A · 2026-27 · matchday 12

The table

Where Serie A actually stands — and, below it, where our model thinks it ends up. One is a fact, the other is an estimate, and we keep them apart.

As it stands

the real table · not ours

Serie A 2026-27 league table — position, played, won, drawn, lost, goals for, goals against, goal difference and points.
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	SS Lazio	11	9	2	0	25	9	+16	29
2	Internazionale Milano	11	9	1	1	28	13	+15

Where we think it ends

our estimate

Today's real points plus the points we expect each club to take from their remaining fixtures — three points for every bit of win probability, one for every bit of draw probability, summed across the run-in. It is an estimate, not a prediction of exact finishing positions, and it moves every week.

Our projected final Serie A 2026-27 table — a model estimate of where each club finishes, from today's real points plus the points we expect them to take from their remaining fixtures. Not a prediction of exact finishing positions.
#	Club	Now	Left

Estimates, not guarantees. WisePicks is a football fan dashboard, not a betting product. We don't show odds or encourage gambling. See our public record for how these calls have actually done.

3	AS Roma	11	8	3	0	31	10	+21	27

4	AC Milan	11	7	3	1	23	13	+10	24

5	Como 1907	11	7	2	2	18	10	+8	23

6	Frosinone Calcio	11	6	2	3	24	15	+9	20

7	Juventus	11	5	3	3	15	12	+3	18

8	Bologna FC 1909	11	5	2	4	16	14	+2	17

9	Cagliari Calcio	11	5	1	5	10	15	-5	16

10	SSC Napoli	11	4	3	4	18	14	+4	15

11	Torino	11	4	2	5	15	17	-2	14

12	Atalanta BC	11	4	2	5	17	20	-3	14

13	Genoa CFC	11	4	1	6	11	16	-5	13

14	US Lecce	11	3	1	7	12	22	-10	10

15	ACF Fiorentina	11	2	3	6	17	25	-8	9

16	Parma Calcio 1913	11	2	2	7	9	17	-8	8

17	US Sassuolo Calcio	11	2	2	7	16	29	-13	8

18	AC Monza	11	2	1	8	17	25	-8	7

19	Venezia	11	2	0	9	8	21	-13	6

20	Udinese Calcio	11	1	2	8	12	25	-13	5

1	Internazionale Milano	28	27	58.3	86	up 1 from their current position
2	AS Roma	27	27	53.3	80	up 1 from their current position
3	SS Lazio	29	27	43.3	72	down 2 from their current position
4	Como 1907	23	27	48.0	71	up 1 from their current position
5	AC Milan	24	27	45.9	70	down 1 from their current position
6	Juventus	18	27	46.7	65	up 1 from their current position
7	SSC Napoli	15	27	47.1	62	up 3 from their current position
8	Cagliari Calcio	16	27	37.7	54	up 1 from their current position
9	Atalanta BC	14	27	39.0	53	up 3 from their current position
10	Bologna FC 1909	17	27	34.0	51	down 2 from their current position
11	Frosinone Calcio	20	27	30.9	51	down 5 from their current position
12	Torino	14	27	29.1	43	down 1 from their current position
13	US Sassuolo Calcio	8	27	33.6	42	up 4 from their current position
14	ACF Fiorentina	9	27	32.4	41	up 1 from their current position
15	Genoa CFC	13	27	26.2	39	down 2 from their current position
16	Parma Calcio 1913	8	27	29.6	38	—
17	Udinese Calcio	5	27	32.0	37	up 3 from their current position
18	US Lecce	10	27	26.5	37	down 4 from their current position
19	AC Monza	7	27	24.9	32	down 1 from their current position
20	Venezia	6	27	20.7	27	down 1 from their current position

Built from 270 of 270 remaining fixtures — the ones we have a read for. We use the full probability of each result rather than picking a winner, because our model rarely makes a draw its most likely outcome: adding up “who we'd pick” would quietly overstate the top of the table. About 26% of Serie A matches end level, and our model almost never makes a draw its most likely outcome — so those are matches we effectively don't call. We grade them like any other: a draw we didn't call is a miss.

As it standsAs it stands

Where we think it endsWhere we think it ends

As it stands

Where we think it ends