Serie A · 2026-27 · matchday 6
Where Serie A actually stands — and, below it, where our model thinks it ends up. One is a fact, the other is an estimate, and we keep them apart.
the real table · not ours
| # | Club | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 | Internazionale Milano | 5 | +7 |
our estimate
Today's real points plus the points we expect each club to take from their remaining fixtures — three points for every bit of win probability, one for every bit of draw probability, summed across the run-in. It is an estimate, not a prediction of exact finishing positions, and it moves every week.
| # | Club | Now |
|---|
Estimates, not guarantees. WisePicks is a football fan dashboard, not a betting product. We don't show odds or encourage gambling. See our public record for how these calls have actually done.
| 13 |
| 3 | SS Lazio | 5 | +5 | 13 |
|---|
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 5 | +3 | 12 |
|---|
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | +6 | 11 |
|---|
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 5 | +5 | 10 |
|---|
| 7 | Juventus | 5 | +4 | 10 |
|---|
| 8 | Como 1907 | 5 | +3 | 10 |
|---|
| 9 | SSC Napoli | 5 | +1 | 7 |
|---|
| 10 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 0 | 7 |
|---|
| 11 | Atalanta BC | 5 | -2 | 6 |
|---|
| 12 | US Lecce | 5 | -5 | 6 |
|---|
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | -3 | 4 |
|---|
| 14 | Torino | 5 | -3 | 4 |
|---|
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 5 | -3 | 4 |
|---|
| 16 | AC Monza | 5 | -4 | 4 |
|---|
| 17 | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | -6 | 4 |
|---|
| 18 | Bologna FC 1909 | 5 | -3 | 2 |
|---|
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 5 | -7 | 1 |
|---|
| 20 | Venezia | 5 | -9 | 0 |
|---|
| ProjProjected |
|---|
| 1 | Internazionale Milano | 13 | 84 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AS Roma | 13 | 78 |
| 3 | Como 1907 | 10 | 68 |
| 4 | Juventus | 10 | 67 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 11 | 67 |
| 6 | SS Lazio | 13 | 66 |
| 7 | SSC Napoli | 7 | 64 |
| 8 | Cagliari Calcio | 12 | 57 |
| 9 | Atalanta BC | 6 | 55 |
| 10 | Frosinone Calcio | 10 | 48 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 7 | 47 |
| 12 | Udinese Calcio | 4 | 44 |
| 13 | Bologna FC 1909 | 2 | 43 |
| 14 | ACF Fiorentina | 4 | 43 |
| 15 | Torino | 4 | 41 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 4 | 40 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 6 | 39 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 4 | 34 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 1 | 33 |
| 20 | Venezia | 0 | 25 |
Built from 330 of 330 remaining fixtures — the ones we have a read for. We use the full probability of each result rather than picking a winner, because our model rarely makes a draw its most likely outcome: adding up “who we'd pick” would quietly overstate the top of the table. About 26% of Serie A matches end level, and our model almost never makes a draw its most likely outcome — so those are matches we effectively don't call. We grade them like any other: a draw we didn't call is a miss.