La Liga · 2026-27 · matchday 8

The table

Where La Liga actually stands — and, below it, where our model thinks it ends up. One is a fact, the other is an estimate, and we keep them apart.

As it stands

the real table · not ours

La Liga 2026-27 league table — position, played, won, drawn, lost, goals for, goals against, goal difference and points.
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Club Atlético de Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9

Where we think it ends

our estimate

Today's real points plus the points we expect each club to take from their remaining fixtures — three points for every bit of win probability, one for every bit of draw probability, summed across the run-in. It is an estimate, not a prediction of exact finishing positions, and it moves every week.

Our projected final La Liga 2026-27 table — a model estimate of where each club finishes, from today's real points plus the points we expect them to take from their remaining fixtures. Not a prediction of exact finishing positions.
#	Club	Now	Left

Estimates, not guarantees. WisePicks is a football fan dashboard, not a betting product. We don't show odds or encourage gambling. See our public record for how these calls have actually done.

3	Real Betis Balompié	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16

4	Real Madrid CF	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15

5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13

6	Deportivo Alavés	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11

7	RC Deportivo La Coruña	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10

8	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10

9	Villarreal CF	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8

10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8

11	Getafe CF	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8

12	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8

13	CA Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8

14	RC Celta de Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7

15	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7

16	Real Racing Club de Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7

17	Levante UD	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5

18	Elche CF	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5

19	Valencia CF	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4

20	Málaga CF	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

1	Barcelona	21	31	70.9	92	—
2	Real Madrid CF	15	31	62.9	78	up 2 from their current position
3	Club Atlético de Madrid	16	31	56.1	72	down 1 from their current position
4	Real Betis Balompié	16	31	54.8	71	down 1 from their current position
5	Villarreal CF	8	31	49.2	57	up 4 from their current position
6	Sevilla	13	31	41.8	55	down 1 from their current position
7	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	8	31	43.6	52	up 5 from their current position
8	Deportivo Alavés	11	31	40.1	51	down 2 from their current position
9	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	10	31	41.0	51	down 1 from their current position
10	Athletic Club	8	32	42.3	50	—
11	RC Celta de Vigo	7	31	40.0	47	up 3 from their current position
12	Getafe CF	8	31	36.9	45	down 1 from their current position
13	RC Deportivo La Coruña	10	31	34.8	45	down 6 from their current position
14	Levante UD	5	32	39.2	44	up 3 from their current position
15	CA Osasuna	8	31	34.0	42	down 2 from their current position
16	Valencia CF	4	31	37.6	42	up 3 from their current position
17	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	7	31	33.9	41	down 2 from their current position
18	Elche CF	5	31	34.8	40	—
19	Real Racing Club de Santander	7	31	30.9	38	down 3 from their current position
20	Málaga CF	3	31	28.4	31	—

Built from 311 of 311 remaining fixtures — the ones we have a read for. We use the full probability of each result rather than picking a winner, because our model rarely makes a draw its most likely outcome: adding up “who we'd pick” would quietly overstate the top of the table. About 24% of La Liga matches end level, and our model almost never makes a draw its most likely outcome — so those are matches we effectively don't call. We grade them like any other: a draw we didn't call is a miss.

As it standsAs it stands

Where we think it endsWhere we think it ends

As it stands

Where we think it ends