La Liga · 2026-27 · matchday 12

The table

Where La Liga actually stands — and, below it, where our model thinks it ends up. One is a fact, the other is an estimate, and we keep them apart.

As it stands

the real table · not ours

La Liga 2026-27 league table — position, played, won, drawn, lost, goals for, goals against, goal difference and points.
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	12	11	0	1	48	13	+35	33
2	Real Madrid CF	12	10	0	2	31	10	+21

Where we think it ends

our estimate

Today's real points plus the points we expect each club to take from their remaining fixtures — three points for every bit of win probability, one for every bit of draw probability, summed across the run-in. It is an estimate, not a prediction of exact finishing positions, and it moves every week.

Our projected final La Liga 2026-27 table — a model estimate of where each club finishes, from today's real points plus the points we expect them to take from their remaining fixtures. Not a prediction of exact finishing positions.
#	Club	Now	Left

Estimates, not guarantees. WisePicks is a football fan dashboard, not a betting product. We don't show odds or encourage gambling. See our public record for how these calls have actually done.

3	Club Atlético de Madrid	12	9	1	2	23	10	+13	28

4	Real Betis Balompié	12	8	2	2	20	15	+5	26

5	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	12	7	1	4	21	20	+1	22

6	Sevilla	12	5	3	4	17	19	-2	18

7	Athletic Club	11	4	4	3	15	11	+4	16

8	Villarreal CF	12	4	3	5	17	15	+2	15

9	RC Deportivo La Coruña	12	3	6	3	15	14	+1	15

10	Real Racing Club de Santander	12	4	2	6	17	30	-13	14

11	RC Celta de Vigo	12	2	7	3	10	10	0	13

12	Deportivo Alavés	12	3	4	5	15	17	-2	13

13	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	12	3	3	6	13	14	-1	12

14	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	11	3	3	5	15	21	-6	12

15	Getafe CF	12	3	3	6	8	18	-10	12

16	CA Osasuna	12	3	3	6	12	23	-11	12

17	Levante UD	12	2	5	5	16	21	-5	11

18	Elche CF	12	2	4	6	14	20	-6	10

19	Valencia CF	12	2	3	7	8	20	-12	9

20	Málaga CF	12	0	5	7	9	23	-14	5

1	Barcelona	33	26	60.4	93	—
2	Real Madrid CF	30	26	53.7	84	—
3	Club Atlético de Madrid	28	26	47.6	76	—
4	Real Betis Balompié	26	26	46.0	72	—
5	Villarreal CF	15	26	40.8	56	up 3 from their current position
6	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	22	26	33.4	55	down 1 from their current position
7	Sevilla	18	26	35.3	53	down 1 from their current position
8	Athletic Club	16	26	34.1	50	down 1 from their current position
9	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	12	26	35.9	48	up 5 from their current position
10	Deportivo Alavés	13	26	34.4	47	up 2 from their current position
11	RC Celta de Vigo	13	26	33.0	46	—
12	RC Deportivo La Coruña	15	26	28.9	44	down 3 from their current position
13	Getafe CF	12	26	31.8	44	up 2 from their current position
14	Levante UD	11	26	32.1	43	up 3 from their current position
15	Valencia CF	9	26	31.7	41	up 4 from their current position
16	CA Osasuna	12	26	28.3	40	—
17	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	12	26	28.1	40	down 4 from their current position
18	Elche CF	10	26	29.5	40	—
19	Real Racing Club de Santander	14	26	25.3	39	down 9 from their current position
20	Málaga CF	5	26	23.2	28	—

Built from 260 of 260 remaining fixtures — the ones we have a read for. We use the full probability of each result rather than picking a winner, because our model rarely makes a draw its most likely outcome: adding up “who we'd pick” would quietly overstate the top of the table. About 24% of La Liga matches end level, and our model almost never makes a draw its most likely outcome — so those are matches we effectively don't call. We grade them like any other: a draw we didn't call is a miss.

As it standsAs it stands

Where we think it endsWhere we think it ends

As it stands

Where we think it ends