Ligue 1 · 2026-27 · matchday 11

The table

Where Ligue 1 actually stands — and, below it, where our model thinks it ends up. One is a fact, the other is an estimate, and we keep them apart.

As it stands

the real table · not ours

Ligue 1 2026-27 league table — position, played, won, drawn, lost, goals for, goals against, goal difference and points.
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint-Germain	10	7	2	1	22	10	+12	23
2	Lille OSC	10	6	3	1	14	7	+7

Where we think it ends

our estimate

Today's real points plus the points we expect each club to take from their remaining fixtures — three points for every bit of win probability, one for every bit of draw probability, summed across the run-in. It is an estimate, not a prediction of exact finishing positions, and it moves every week.

Our projected final Ligue 1 2026-27 table — a model estimate of where each club finishes, from today's real points plus the points we expect them to take from their remaining fixtures. Not a prediction of exact finishing positions.
#	Club	Now	Left

Estimates, not guarantees. WisePicks is a football fan dashboard, not a betting product. We don't show odds or encourage gambling. See our public record for how these calls have actually done.

3	Paris	10	6	2	2	17	10	+7	20

4	Olympique de Marseille	10	6	0	4	22	14	+8	18

5	Olympique Lyonnais	10	5	2	3	15	9	+6	17

6	OGC Nice	10	5	2	3	15	12	+3	17

7	AS Monaco	10	4	4	2	13	11	+2	16

8	Stade Rennais FC 1901	10	5	1	4	21	21	0	16

9	Stade Brestois 29	10	4	3	3	18	12	+6	15

10	Lorient	10	4	3	3	9	8	+1	15

11	Racing Club de Lens	10	4	1	5	17	15	+2	13

12	Toulouse	10	3	4	3	15	14	+1	13

13	RC Strasbourg Alsace	10	3	1	6	18	22	-4	10

14	AJ Auxerre	10	3	1	6	13	24	-11	10

15	Le Mans	10	1	5	4	12	19	-7	8

16	Angers SCO	10	2	2	6	9	19	-10	8

17	ES Troyes AC	10	2	2	6	7	17	-10	8

18	Le Havre AC	10	0	2	8	9	22	-13	2

1	Paris Saint-Germain	23	24	49.9	73	—
2	Lille OSC	21	24	42.2	63	—
3	AS Monaco	16	24	44.2	60	up 4 from their current position
4	Olympique Lyonnais	17	24	42.7	60	up 1 from their current position
5	Paris	20	24	38.0	58	down 2 from their current position
6	Stade Rennais FC 1901	16	24	40.1	56	up 2 from their current position
7	Olympique de Marseille	18	24	33.9	52	down 3 from their current position
8	Racing Club de Lens	13	24	38.7	52	up 3 from their current position
9	RC Strasbourg Alsace	10	24	37.8	48	up 4 from their current position
10	Toulouse	13	24	30.2	43	up 2 from their current position
11	Lorient	15	24	27.3	42	down 1 from their current position
12	OGC Nice	17	24	25.0	42	down 6 from their current position
13	Stade Brestois 29	15	24	25.6	41	down 4 from their current position
14	AJ Auxerre	10	24	27.2	37	—
15	Angers SCO	8	24	23.9	32	up 1 from their current position
16	Le Mans	8	24	23.8	32	down 1 from their current position
17	ES Troyes AC	8	24	20.8	29	—
18	Le Havre AC	2	24	22.9	25	—

Built from 216 of 216 remaining fixtures — the ones we have a read for. We use the full probability of each result rather than picking a winner, because our model rarely makes a draw its most likely outcome: adding up “who we'd pick” would quietly overstate the top of the table. About 24% of Ligue 1 matches end level, and our model almost never makes a draw its most likely outcome — so those are matches we effectively don't call. We grade them like any other: a draw we didn't call is a miss.

As it standsAs it stands

Where we think it endsWhere we think it ends

As it stands

Where we think it ends