Ligue 1 · 2026-27 · matchday 6
Where Ligue 1 actually stands — and, below it, where our model thinks it ends up. One is a fact, the other is an estimate, and we keep them apart.
the real table · not ours
| # | Club | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Monaco | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 | Olympique Lyonnais | 5 | +8 |
our estimate
Today's real points plus the points we expect each club to take from their remaining fixtures — three points for every bit of win probability, one for every bit of draw probability, summed across the run-in. It is an estimate, not a prediction of exact finishing positions, and it moves every week.
| # | Club | Now |
|---|
Estimates, not guarantees. WisePicks is a football fan dashboard, not a betting product. We don't show odds or encourage gambling. See our public record for how these calls have actually done.
| 11 |
| 3 | Paris | 5 | +5 | 11 |
|---|
| 4 | Lille OSC | 5 | +4 | 10 |
|---|
| 5 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 5 | -1 | 10 |
|---|
| 6 | Paris Saint-Germain | 5 | +1 | 8 |
|---|
| 7 | Angers SCO | 5 | +1 | 7 |
|---|
| 8 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 5 | 0 | 7 |
|---|
| 9 | Le Mans | 5 | 0 | 6 |
|---|
| 10 | AJ Auxerre | 5 | -5 | 6 |
|---|
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
|---|
| 12 | Lorient | 5 | -1 | 5 |
|---|
| 13 | Toulouse | 5 | -2 | 5 |
|---|
| 14 | OGC Nice | 5 | -3 | 5 |
|---|
| 15 | Racing Club de Lens | 5 | 0 | 4 |
|---|
| 16 | ES Troyes AC | 5 | -7 | 4 |
|---|
| 17 | Olympique de Marseille | 5 | -1 | 3 |
|---|
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 5 | -3 | 2 |
|---|
| ProjProjected |
|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 8 | 69 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AS Monaco | 13 | 66 |
| 3 | Olympique Lyonnais | 11 | 62 |
| 4 | Lille OSC | 10 | 61 |
| 5 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 10 | 58 |
| 6 | Paris | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 7 | 52 |
| 8 | Racing Club de Lens | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | Olympique de Marseille | 3 | 45 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 5 | 42 |
| 11 | AJ Auxerre | 6 | 39 |
| 12 | Lorient | 5 | 39 |
| 13 | Angers SCO | 7 | 37 |
| 14 | Stade Brestois 29 | 5 | 36 |
| 15 | OGC Nice | 5 | 35 |
| 16 | Le Mans | 6 | 35 |
| 17 | Le Havre AC | 2 | 29 |
| 18 | ES Troyes AC | 4 | 29 |
Built from 261 of 261 remaining fixtures — the ones we have a read for. We use the full probability of each result rather than picking a winner, because our model rarely makes a draw its most likely outcome: adding up “who we'd pick” would quietly overstate the top of the table. About 24% of Ligue 1 matches end level, and our model almost never makes a draw its most likely outcome — so those are matches we effectively don't call. We grade them like any other: a draw we didn't call is a miss.