Bundesliga · 2026-27 · matchday 5

The table

Where the Bundesliga actually stands — and, below it, where our model thinks it ends up. One is a fact, the other is an estimate, and we keep them apart.

As it stands

the real table · not ours

Bundesliga 2026-27 league table — position, played, won, drawn, lost, goals for, goals against, goal difference and points.
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12

Where we think it ends

our estimate

Today's real points plus the points we expect each club to take from their remaining fixtures — three points for every bit of win probability, one for every bit of draw probability, summed across the run-in. It is an estimate, not a prediction of exact finishing positions, and it moves every week.

Our projected final Bundesliga 2026-27 table — a model estimate of where each club finishes, from today's real points plus the points we expect them to take from their remaining fixtures. Not a prediction of exact finishing positions.
#	Club	Now	Left

Estimates, not guarantees. WisePicks is a football fan dashboard, not a betting product. We don't show odds or encourage gambling. See our public record for how these calls have actually done.

3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10

4	Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7

5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7

6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7

7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7

8	SV Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7

9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6

10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5

11	Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5

12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4

13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4

14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3

15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3

16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3

17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1

18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

1	Bayern München	10	30	63.0	73	up 1 from their current position
2	Borussia Dortmund	12	30	56.7	69	down 1 from their current position
3	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	7	30	49.7	57	up 2 from their current position
4	SC Freiburg	10	30	45.5	55	down 1 from their current position
5	RB Leipzig	6	30	46.9	53	up 4 from their current position
6	VfB Stuttgart	3	30	47.7	51	up 9 from their current position
7	1. FSV Mainz 05	7	30	41.5	49	down 1 from their current position
8	Augsburg	7	30	40.9	48	down 4 from their current position
9	Eintracht Frankfurt	5	30	40.2	45	up 1 from their current position
10	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	3	30	41.1	44	up 4 from their current position
11	SV Werder Bremen	7	30	36.9	44	down 3 from their current position
12	SV 07 Elversberg	7	30	36.0	43	down 5 from their current position
13	Schalke 04	5	30	34.1	39	down 2 from their current position
14	SC Paderborn 07	4	30	33.6	38	down 2 from their current position
15	Hamburger SV	3	30	33.7	37	up 1 from their current position
16	1. FC Köln	4	30	32.1	36	down 3 from their current position
17	1. FC Union Berlin	1	30	33.4	34	—
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	30	33.3	33	—

Bayern München

Borussia Dortmund

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

SC Freiburg

RB Leipzig

VfB Stuttgart

1. FSV Mainz 05

Augsburg

Eintracht Frankfurt

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

SV Werder Bremen

SV 07 Elversberg

Schalke 04

SC Paderborn 07

Hamburger SV

1. FC Köln

1. FC Union Berlin

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Built from 270 of 270 remaining fixtures — the ones we have a read for. We use the full probability of each result rather than picking a winner, because our model rarely makes a draw its most likely outcome: adding up “who we'd pick” would quietly overstate the top of the table. About 25% of Bundesliga matches end level, and our model almost never makes a draw its most likely outcome — so those are matches we effectively don't call. We grade them like any other: a draw we didn't call is a miss.

As it standsAs it stands

Where we think it endsWhere we think it ends

As it stands

Where we think it ends