Bundesliga · 2026-27 · matchday 10

The table

Where the Bundesliga actually stands — and, below it, where our model thinks it ends up. One is a fact, the other is an estimate, and we keep them apart.

As it stands

the real table · not ours

Bundesliga 2026-27 league table — position, played, won, drawn, lost, goals for, goals against, goal difference and points.
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern München	9	6	3	0	29	9	+20	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	6	3	0	16	7	+9

Where we think it ends

our estimate

Today's real points plus the points we expect each club to take from their remaining fixtures — three points for every bit of win probability, one for every bit of draw probability, summed across the run-in. It is an estimate, not a prediction of exact finishing positions, and it moves every week.

Our projected final Bundesliga 2026-27 table — a model estimate of where each club finishes, from today's real points plus the points we expect them to take from their remaining fixtures. Not a prediction of exact finishing positions.
#	Club	Now	Left

Estimates, not guarantees. WisePicks is a football fan dashboard, not a betting product. We don't show odds or encourage gambling. See our public record for how these calls have actually done.

3	SC Freiburg	9	6	1	2	20	10	+10	19

4	RB Leipzig	9	6	0	3	27	13	+14	18

5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	9	5	1	3	20	17	+3	16

6	SV Werder Bremen	9	4	3	2	17	15	+2	15

7	SV 07 Elversberg	9	4	1	4	17	18	-1	13

8	VfB Stuttgart	9	4	0	5	15	15	0	12

9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	9	4	0	5	16	17	-1	12

10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	3	3	3	15	20	-5	12

11	Hamburger SV	9	4	0	5	10	20	-10	12

12	1. FSV Mainz 05	9	3	1	5	18	19	-1	10

13	SC Paderborn 07	9	2	4	3	8	11	-3	10

14	Augsburg	9	2	3	4	20	20	0	9

15	1. FC Köln	9	2	3	4	10	14	-4	9

16	1. FC Union Berlin	9	1	4	4	7	21	-14	7

17	Schalke 04	9	1	3	5	5	11	-6	6

18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	1	1	7	12	25	-13	4

1	Bayern München	21	25	53.2	74	—
2	Borussia Dortmund	21	25	47.4	68	—
3	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	16	25	41.6	58	up 2 from their current position
4	SC Freiburg	19	25	38.2	57	down 1 from their current position
5	RB Leipzig	18	25	39.1	57	down 1 from their current position
6	VfB Stuttgart	12	25	39.4	51	up 2 from their current position
7	SV Werder Bremen	15	25	31.2	46	down 1 from their current position
8	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	12	25	33.4	45	up 1 from their current position
9	Eintracht Frankfurt	12	25	33.4	45	up 1 from their current position
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	10	25	34.8	45	up 2 from their current position
11	SV 07 Elversberg	13	25	30.5	44	down 4 from their current position
12	Augsburg	9	25	34.5	44	up 2 from their current position
13	Hamburger SV	12	25	27.9	40	down 2 from their current position
14	SC Paderborn 07	10	25	27.4	37	down 1 from their current position
15	1. FC Köln	9	25	26.0	35	—
16	1. FC Union Berlin	7	25	27.8	35	—
17	Schalke 04	6	25	28.7	35	—
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	25	27.2	31	—

Built from 225 of 225 remaining fixtures — the ones we have a read for. We use the full probability of each result rather than picking a winner, because our model rarely makes a draw its most likely outcome: adding up “who we'd pick” would quietly overstate the top of the table. About 25% of Bundesliga matches end level, and our model almost never makes a draw its most likely outcome — so those are matches we effectively don't call. We grade them like any other: a draw we didn't call is a miss.

As it standsAs it stands

Where we think it endsWhere we think it ends

As it stands

Where we think it ends