Premier League · 2026-27 · matchday 6

The table

Where the Premier League actually stands — and, below it, where our model thinks it ends up. One is a fact, the other is an estimate, and we keep them apart.

As it stands

the real table · not ours

Premier League 2026-27 league table — position, played, won, drawn, lost, goals for, goals against, goal difference and points.
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4

Where we think it ends

our estimate

Today's real points plus the points we expect each club to take from their remaining fixtures — three points for every bit of win probability, one for every bit of draw probability, summed across the run-in. It is an estimate, not a prediction of exact finishing positions, and it moves every week.

Our projected final Premier League 2026-27 table — a model estimate of where each club finishes, from today's real points plus the points we expect them to take from their remaining fixtures. Not a prediction of exact finishing positions.
#	Club	Now	Left

Estimates, not guarantees. WisePicks is a football fan dashboard, not a betting product. We don't show odds or encourage gambling. See our public record for how these calls have actually done.

3	Brighton & Hove Albion	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10

4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9

5	Leeds United	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9

6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9

7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9

8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8

9	Newcastle United	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8

10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7

11	Ipswich Town	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6

12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5

13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5

14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4

15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4

16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4

17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3

18	Coventry City	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3

19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2

20	Tottenham Hotspur	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

1	Manchester City	15	33	64.9	80	—
2	Arsenal	12	33	63.7	76	—
3	Brighton & Hove Albion	10	33	52.6	63	—
4	Liverpool	9	33	52.2	61	up 2 from their current position
5	Brentford	9	33	49.8	59	down 1 from their current position
6	Manchester United	5	33	51.8	57	up 6 from their current position
7	Leeds United	9	33	47.2	56	down 2 from their current position
8	Everton	9	33	45.3	54	down 1 from their current position
9	Newcastle United	8	33	44.7	53	—
10	Chelsea	7	33	45.1	52	—
11	Bournemouth	3	33	49.0	52	up 6 from their current position
12	Aston Villa	4	33	46.1	50	up 4 from their current position
13	Nottingham Forest	5	33	42.6	48	—
14	Sunderland	4	33	41.1	45	—
15	Crystal Palace	4	33	39.2	43	—
16	Fulham	2	33	40.0	42	up 3 from their current position
17	Hull City	8	33	32.2	40	down 9 from their current position
18	Ipswich Town	6	33	32.5	38	down 7 from their current position
19	Tottenham Hotspur	2	33	34.2	36	up 1 from their current position
20	Coventry City	3	33	30.7	34	down 2 from their current position

Built from 330 of 330 remaining fixtures — the ones we have a read for. We use the full probability of each result rather than picking a winner, because our model rarely makes a draw its most likely outcome: adding up “who we'd pick” would quietly overstate the top of the table. About 27% of Premier League matches end level, and our model almost never makes a draw its most likely outcome — so those are matches we effectively don't call. We grade them like any other: a draw we didn't call is a miss.

As it standsAs it stands

Where we think it endsWhere we think it ends

As it stands

Where we think it ends