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WISEPICKSPredictions, graded in public — never bets. No odds, ever.

A football fan dashboard, not a betting product. Every prediction is a statistical estimate from a simple Elo + Dixon–Coles model: genuinely uncertain, never a promise, and not advice of any kind. We don't show odds or encourage betting. Finished matches show the real result, never a prediction.

Sources: football-data.org, API-Football, public international-results data (CC0), our Elo model.Methodology

Matchday 4, graded — La Liga 2026-27 · WisePicks

← Today's matches

La Liga · 2026-27 · publicly graded

Matchday 4, graded

Every call we made for this round, locked before kickoff and graded here against the real result — hits and misses at the same size. The round is complete, so these numbers are final.

Graded in public

Matchday 4

La Liga 2026-27

Miss: Real Betis Balompié v Real Madrid CF — we called Real Madrid CF to win
Miss: Athletic Club v Club Atlético de Madrid — we called Club Atlético de Madrid to win
Hit: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid v Real Racing Club de Santander — we called Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win
Miss: Villarreal CF v RC Deportivo La Coruña — we called Villarreal CF to win
Hit: Valencia CF v Barcelona — we called Barcelona to win
Hit: Deportivo Alavés v CA Osasuna — we called Deportivo Alavés to win
Hit: Málaga CF v Levante UD — we called Draw
Miss: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona v Sevilla — we called RCD Espanyol de Barcelona to win
Miss: Getafe CF v RC Celta de Vigo — we called Getafe CF to win
Miss: Elche CF v Real Sociedad de Fútbol — we called Elche CF to win

4 of 10 called right

Season so far · 30 of 53

Every call, hits and misses.

The one we got most wrong

Sat, 19:00 UTC

Villarreal CF

RC Deportivo La Coruña

2–3

Final result

Our call, before kickoff: Villarreal CF to win
We gave that call: 66%

This is the miss we were most confident about: of the 6 calls we got wrong this matchday, it's the one where we'd put the highest probability on our own answer. That's the whole rule — no one picks it by hand.

See the full read for Villarreal CF v RC Deportivo La Coruña →

Every call this matchday

Most recent first — the 6 we got wrong sit right alongside the 4 we got right.

MISS
Elche CF2
Real Sociedad de Fútbol3
Our call
Elche CF to win
Result
2–3
MISS

← Matchday 3 The full La Liga 2026-27 record →Matchday 5 →

Getafe CF

1

RC Celta de Vigo1

Our call: Getafe CF to win
Result: 1–1

✗MISS

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona1

Sevilla1

Our call: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona to win
Result: 1–1

✓HIT

Deportivo Alavés5

CA Osasuna2

Our call: Deportivo Alavés to win
Result: 5–2

✓HIT

Málaga CF0

Levante UD0

Our call: Draw
Result: 0–0

✓HIT

Valencia CF0

Barcelona5

Our call: Barcelona to win
Result: 0–5

✗MISS

Villarreal CF2

RC Deportivo La Coruña3

Our call: Villarreal CF to win
Result: 2–3

✓HIT

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid3

Real Racing Club de Santander2

Our call: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win
Result: 3–2

✗MISS

Athletic Club3

Club Atlético de Madrid0

Our call: Club Atlético de Madrid to win
Result: 3–0

✗MISS

Real Betis Balompié1

Real Madrid CF0

Our call: Real Madrid CF to win
Result: 1–0